Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Kansas | The Jayhawks have won 14 straight, but a narrow win at home (that should've gone to overtime) is concerning. |
2 | Baylor | In polls, it matters how you win. The Bears went down to the final minute at home twice last week. If they win @WVa, they'll jump KU. |
3 | Villanova | Hinkle Fieldhouse is a rough place to play, and Villanova still has both an impressive resume and solid metrics. |
4 | UCLA | I don't trust the Bruins, but it's hard to argue with one loss and a win @UK. I expect them to pick up three more losses in Pac-12 play. |
5 | Kentucky | The most efficient team, and likely the most talented as well. Wouldn't be surprised to see them at #1 before the season ends. |
6 | Duke | Their only full-strength loss is to my #1, but would Grayson Allen have swung the Virginia Tech game? Hard to know. Tough week ahead. |
7 | Gonzaga | They're unbeaten, and for once their SOS is solid, with three top-50 wins, but they also trailed at the half against Pacific. |
8 | Creighton | The Big East is back, man, and Creighton's a big part of that. A home game against Butler will be a good chance to prove it. |
9 | West Virginia | The metrics love this team, but a home loss to Temple is holding them back from a higher ranking. Plus, their current SOS is terrible. |
10 | Louisville | Yes, I know they lost to Notre Dame last week, but it was an away game. They have the toughest SOS of any top-10 team and a 13-3 record. |
11 | Florida State | They're 4-0 against top-50 teams, but like West Virginia they carry a home loss to Temple, who are not good. Super tough stretch ahead. |
12 | Purdue | I thought they were underrated going into their game against Wisconsin, and they made a good argument. They're the B1G frontrunners now. |
13 | Wisconsin | Probably going to be controversial since they were #13 in the overall poll last week and lost, but it was a road loss. |
14 | Oregon | I question how good of a win UCLA is, but they're still 14-2 against a really solid SOS. |
15 | Arizona | They're here more because of their lack of losses than their quality wins, but they'll have ample opportunity to prove themselves in the Pac |
16 | Notre Dame | A win against Louisville really bolstered a resume that needed that sort of a win. KenPom doesn't like them much, though. |
17 | Butler | Yeah, yeah, they beat Villanova, but are we seriously going to reward a team that lost to Indiana State? They opened MVC play 0-4, btw. |
18 | Xavier | Only one top-50 win, but their SOS is still solid and the worse of their two losses is on the road to a not-bad Colorado team. |
19 | Virginia | They're better than their loss @Pittsburgh, but they still lost that game. Expect them to grab some great wins in ACC play and climb again. |
20 | North Carolina | Yeesh, and I thought the Apple Cup was a brutal rivalry game. They'll be haunted by their loss to Georgia Tech for a while, though. |
21 | Saint Mary's | Only one top-50 win, and a loss to a UT-Arlington team that isn't what we thought it would be. Jock Landale is really good, though. |
22 | Cincinnati | I honestly didn't want to rank Cincinnati since they lack a real quality win, but metrics love them and I can't think of four better teams |
23 | Minnesota | Their win @Purdue looks even better now. |
24 | Florida | Poor Florida. Their three losses are to top-15 teams, and metrics like them more than the voters, but they're stuck being second in the SEC. |
25 | SMU | Who wants to be #25? Not USC, apparently. Texas Tech lost to KU after beating WVU. So, SMU it is. |