Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Kentucky | Second best recruiting class + Travis, some returning talent, and a bunch of extra practices in the Bahamas. The Wildcats are loaded. |
2 | Kansas | Two big returnees + the three transfers finally get their call + Grimes and Dotson arrive. This probably isn't the year the streak ends. |
3 | Duke | This is about as low as I feel comfortable putting Barrett, Reddish, Williamson, and Jones. Inexperienced? Sure. But don't overthink this. |
4 | Gonzaga | Tillie, Norvell, and Hachimura all return. It looks like Crandall's arrival is finally official, which should push them over the edge. |
5 | Nevada | The Wolf Pack's game is transfer recruiting and they've done it very well. Four eligible transfers + four returning starters = contender. |
6 | Virginia | The Cavs' main problem is that they struggle to function outside their scheme, but said scheme made them #1 overall seed. They'll be fine. |
7 | Tennessee | Another defensive juggernaut, the Vols return pretty much their entire rotation but are slightly worse than UVA on both sides of the ball. |
8 | North Carolina | Not as deep a recruiting class as Duke, but three top-50 guys + the experience of Maye and Williams should let them compete for the ACC. |
9 | Villanova | By Nova's lofty standards, this is a retooling year. Quinerly, though a 5* recruit, symbolizes rare inexperience leading a Wright roster. |
10 | Michigan State | Bridges and Jackson are gone, but they weren't the entire team. Izzo will coach someone into taking the reins. He always does. |
11 | Kansas State | It's the same Wildcat team that stormed to the E8 last year, and with Wade nursed back to health, they should be scary yet again. |
12 | West Virginia | Carter and Miles are huge losses, but Huggins is an elite coach and Konate is going to block everything within 15 feet of the hoop. |
13 | Virginia Tech | Williams has quickly transformed the Hokies from perennial afterthought to ACC Tournament double bye contender. Almost everyone returns. |
14 | Oregon | Given who they've lost, that this is White's last year, and that Bol and King are likely one-and-dones, this feels like a do-or-die year. |
15 | LSU | Don't sleep on Waters or this recruiting class. The Tigers won't win the SEC, but they'll play everyone tougher than you might expect. |
16 | Auburn | I'm lower than most on the Tigers, but three transfers becoming eligible can at least try to atone for the loss of two double-digit scorers. |
17 | Syracuse | I hate zone defense as much as the next guy, but a team with this much experience under Boeheim is going to be a tough out. |
18 | Michigan | A rare team to lose multiple big pieces and still be super deep. Could pull another B1G Tournament title out of nowhere. |
19 | Mississippi State | Most of the rotation is back and two top-50 recruits arrive. A return to the NIT would be a disappointment for these Bulldogs. |
20 | Indiana | Langford is a huge get, and his backcourt skillset should complement the frontcourt presence of Morgan and Davis nicely. |
21 | Florida State | Cofer being allowed to return is important, but last year's 'Noles often seemed to play down to their opponents. If that quits, they roll. |
22 | Maryland | I'll buy the Cowan hype, and Smith and Wiggins highlight a great recruiting class. Should easily compete for a B1G Tournament double bye. |
23 | UCLA | O'Neal won't play, but he wasn't even the best recruit in the class. That's Brown, who should pair well with Wilkes and Hands. |
24 | Clemson | The Tigers will miss DeVoe, but they return almost everyone else and played well through last year's injury to Grantham. |
25 | Cincinnati | The Bearcats lost a lot, but I trust Cronin to make the most of what remains. Cumberland is legit and I like Broome in a starting role. |